OpenAI announces search competitor on Monday?

Resolved

No, settled May 14, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$60.6K

Resolved

Settled

May 14, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 May 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 12% on 11 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 May 2024 to 14 May 2024, the highest close was 18.5% on 13 May 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 14 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.4% on 14 May 2024. $60.58K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 15, 8:14 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 May 2024 – 14 May 2024, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 May 2024	12.0%
14 May 2024	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
45514	Yes	725.36
WordleAddict	No	0.03
fgghjjkll	Yes	0.01

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On May 9, Reuters reported that OpenAI plans to announce a search product on Monday (see https://www.reuters.com/technology/openai-plans-announce-google-search-competitor-monday-sources-say-2024-05-09/?taid=663d49c2ff511f0001247e36). This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces a search product on Monday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "On Monday" means an announcement made on Monday in the PT timezone.