Analytics
“Will OPEC cut production by next meeting?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Jun 30, 2025. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 21 hourly price points from Jun 17, 2025 to Jul 7, 2025 (Yes between 0.2% and 8.5%); 11 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 140 recent public fills from 77 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production cut that is additional to all production cuts publicly agreed to at or on the time the July 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on July 6 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1360566-31-may-2025.html). If that July 6, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate cut occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production cut" means a reduction in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional cuts only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the June 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-opec-cut-production-by-next-meeting
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kingfisher57 | Yes | 2.03K |
| Jkjk369 | Yes | 1.04K |
| cannibalbunnies | Yes | 987.66 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 343 |
| Dontmindme9 | Yes | 62.5 |
| freepy | Yes | 19.23 |
| Konkon1870 | Yes | 14.93 |
| Plasmacannon | Yes | 14.29 |
| 1234567892 | Yes | 11.11 |
| CryptoCoop777 | Yes | 10 |