Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 55% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 26 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 24 Jan 2025 and the lowest 55% on 15 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 55% on 19 Jan 2025. $354.18 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 10:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 26 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 55.0% |
| 26 Jan 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Krishna6887 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is officially confirmed that Omar Marmoush, the Egyptian forward on Eintracht Frankfurt, has signed for Manchester City during the EPL Winter Transfer window by February 3, 2025, 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market’s resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and Eintracht Frankfurt.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-omar-marmoush-join-manchester-city-during-winter-transfer-window
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