Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$172.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 83% on 15 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2026 to 12 May 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 76.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 91.5% on 2 May 2026. $172.7K traded over the market's life.

36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 13, 5:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 15 Apr 2026 – 12 May 2026, chart shows 70%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Apr 2026	83.0%
12 May 2026	99.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bowed-Comprehension	No	83.45K
Golden Beacon 67A6	No	4.89K
chobanilounge	No	4.5K

10 of 36 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.