Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 9 Feb 2026. $2.17M traded over the market's life.
132 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 11:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 189 points · 9 Dec 2025 – 4 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 5.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 393.68K |
| Advanced-Pinkie | Yes | 21K |
| False-Gateway | Yes | 19.2K |
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-continent-will-win-the-world-cup
| Yes |
| 15.67K |
| balthazar | Yes | 15.61K |
| NostraMus | Yes | 15K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 10.97K |
| DavidShekel | Yes | 6.19K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 5.92K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 4.19K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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