Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 68.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2024 to 21 Aug 2024, the highest close was 68.5% on 21 Aug 2024 and the lowest 58% on 20 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 68.5% on 21 Aug 2024. $136.34K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 22, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 21 Aug 2024, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 58.0% |
| 21 Aug 2024 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RainyDayFund | No | 10 |
| coldFusion | No | 0.09 |
| Potable-Toast | No | 0.02 |
| ootharju | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Barack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Obamacare", "ACA" or "Affordable Care Act" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Obamacare" or "ACA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Affordable Care Act. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
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