
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4% on 9 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 4.3% on 10 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2024. $7.44K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 9 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2024 | 4.0% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thebeast | Yes | 146.34 |
| nouseforaname | Yes | 100 |
| cshunter | No | 5 |
| Bitlake | No | 1.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama makes an appearance on the All-In Podcast by 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a credible consensus of reporting that Barack Obama has recorded a All-In podcast before the resolution date this market will resolve to "Yes", even if that podcast is not yet released. The primary resolution source will be a released podcast and/or information from Barack Obama and the All-In Podcast, and each party's official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-obama-go-on-the-all-in-podcast
New to prediction markets?
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.9 |