Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 17.9% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 17.9% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 2.6% on 12 Mar 2026. $15.9K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 17.9% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 1.5K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| Vivid-Reference | Yes | 236.12 |
| wxy7766 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-o1-launch-a-token-by
| Ripper4 | Yes | 142.86 |
| TonyManerao | Yes | 123.04 |
| 00xx1122 | Yes | 87 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 29.99 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 5.56 |
| 3umf | Yes | 5 |
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