Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 18 Jun 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 46% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 54.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $1.5K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 18 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| akko123 | No | 300 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-o1-launch-a-token-by
| No |
| 4.99 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 0.17 |
| ToadToad | Yes | 0.02 |
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