Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 39% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 63% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 7.5% on 26 May 2026. $4.17K traded over the market's life.

33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 3:17 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
29 Apr 2026	39.0%
1 Jun 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.08K
guwenly	Yes	166.04
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150

10 of 33 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.