Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 39.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 39.5% on 21 Mar 2026. $1.8K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 3:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 46.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| luetandu | Yes | 228.33 |
| ziyongzhan | Yes | 99.2 |
| zhongzhanggua | Yes | 95.29 |
| xikengzhi | Yes | 81.43 |
| bahannao | Yes | 73.71 |
| xuanshizhuo | Yes | 58.33 |
| qianyixian | Yes | 58.16 |
| oujiangpang | Yes | 57.08 |
| shenjingji | Yes | 40.26 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-nya-hit-in-march-2026
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