Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 46 points from 50% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24.5% on 27 Sep 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?”.
$331 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.89K since listing. The order book holds $540.71, with a 5.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 108 trades, $761.35 bought Yes and $2K bought No.
The largest Yes position is grasstoucher69 with 240 shares; the largest No position is AlAhmeda with 371. Ten wallets hold 84.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AlAhmeda | No | 371 |
| Dental-Lawmaker | No | 317.46 |
| PippiTrader | No | 309.82 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-nvda-hit-in-october-2026
4 more markets, none above 1.8%.
| grasstoucher69 |
| Yes |
| 240.15 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 240 |
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 228.47 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 189.98 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 159.99 |
| yesasdgfaskdfhask | No | 85.82 |
| kroko | Yes | 71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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