Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 10 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026, the highest close was 88% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 6% on 15 Oct 2026. $3.65K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 7:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grasstoucher69 | Yes | 455.97 |
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 164.91 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | 92.18 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 12 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-hit-week-of-october-12-2026
| sdssds | Yes | 40 |
| a5533 | Yes | 31.14 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| Misty Lynx 942D | Yes | 5 |
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