Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 26, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$160.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 26, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Jan 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 13 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2024 to 26 Jan 2024, the highest close was 54.5% on 25 Jan 2024 and the lowest 42% on 19 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 43% on 18 Jan 2024. $160.03K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 8:57 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 13 Jan 2024 – 26 Jan 2024, chart shows 35%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Jan 2024	48.0%
26 Jan 2024	54.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
nbrown9119	Yes	266.67
Wass1n	Yes	200
ReyMagnin	Yes	93.83
Macgiver6	Yes	85.24

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic wins the 2024 Australian Open in the Men’s Singles category. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Novak Djokovic is eliminated before the finals this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/)