Will 'Nosferatu' win an Oscar?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$28.6K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 28% on 19 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 19 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, the highest close was 28% on 19 Feb 2025 and the lowest 13% on 25 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 15.5% on 20 Feb 2025. $28.56K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 6:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 19 Feb 2025 – 3 Mar 2025, chart shows 10%–35%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Feb 2025	28.0%
3 Mar 2025	17.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Sophia0x	Yes	25
wwepalooza	Yes	8.36
Androidsr	Yes	5.56
bignickck	No	0.02

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Nosferatu' wins at least one 2025 Academy Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Oscars won by people for their participation in the creation of this film will count toward a "Yes" resolution. If for any reason Oscar winners are not declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.