Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 5 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 5 Apr 2024 and the low 2.5% on 26 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 10.5% on 24 Apr 2024. $41.56K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 9:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 5 Apr 2024 – 26 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2024 | 25.5% |
| 26 Jun 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.29K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
"The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if no listed members of "The Squad" lose their 2024 primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The list of members in The Squad are as follows: -Greg Casar (TX-35, won his primary on March 5) -Summer Lee (PA-12, primary on April 23) -Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14, primary on June 25) -Jamaal Bowman (NY-16, primary on June 25) -Cori Bush (MO-1, primary on August 6) -Rashida Tlaib (MI-12, primary on August 6) -Ilhan Omar (MN-5, primary on August 13) -Ayanna Pressley (MA-7, primary on September 3) This market may immediately resolve to "No" if any squad member loses. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from each relevant state's Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-members-of-the-squad-will-lose-their-primaries
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