
Resolved No on 28 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 3.4% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 28 Nov 2025, the highest close was 3.4% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.9% on 28 Nov 2025. $11.55K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 28 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 3.4% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.51K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 1.23K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.11K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Hive x Betmoar Genesis Cup, which is a trading competition scheduled to end December 16, 2025. If the Genesis Cup is postponed after January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by January 31, 2026 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple competitors are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the competitor whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Betmoar (see: https://www.betmoar.fun/contest/hive); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/genesis-cup-winner
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 337.7 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 269.92 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 234 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 141.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 103 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 82 |
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