
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 49% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2024 to 4 Sep 2024, the highest close was 49% on 15 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 4 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 8.5% on 16 Aug 2024. $59.04K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 5:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 15 Aug 2024 – 4 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | 49.0% |
| 4 Sep 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.53K |
| ER01MM | Yes | 109.13 |
| Neon Oracle C0FB | Yes | 58.82 |
| respconseose1987 | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bachelorette Winner?
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| karrestmenmort1970 | Yes | 0.07 |
| ONB | No | 0.06 |
| Palatable-Recreation | Yes | 0.04 |
| credbelesa1984 | Yes | 0.04 |
| tyl88 | No | 0.03 |
| MetaFox | Yes | 0.03 |