
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 6% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 6% on 13 Dec 2025 and the low 0.9% on 5 Jan 2026. $25.33K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 13 Dec 2025 – 28 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 6.0% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.29K |
| cowcat | Yes | 1.56K |
| Quiet Voyager A460 | Yes | 837.91 |
| bibitteee | Yes | 747.62 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 27-28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27-28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-645
| BiggusCk | Yes | 562.53 |
| shine | Yes | 409.35 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 312.84 |
| kandinsky | Yes | 250 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 244 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 227 |
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