Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 10, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$55.3K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 10, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 22% on 31 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2025 to 10 Dec 2025, the highest close was 22% on 31 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 10 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 8% on 1 Nov 2025. $55.31K traded over the market's life.

49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 31 Oct 2025 – 10 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Oct 2025	22.0%
10 Dec 2025	0.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
FishyAF	Yes	8.4K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.62K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	873.99
los.hrt	Yes	734.57

10 of 49 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 9 - 10, 2025. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 10, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 9 - 10, 2025, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.