Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2026 to 16 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49.6% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 3.3% on 16 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 3.3% on 16 Sep 2026. $790.65 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 4.3% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-on-the-next-lemonade-stand-podcast-september-16
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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