Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 308 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2024 to 12 Nov 2024, the highest close was 50% on 10 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4.5% on 11 Jan 2024. $21.92M traded over the market's life.
391 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 8:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 308 points, 10 Jan 2024 – 12 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 12 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.92M |
| qrpenc | Yes | 3.6M |
| Emerald Beacon F675 | Yes | 1.71M |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-popular-vote-winner-2024
| therealbatman | Yes | 1.4M |
| politicalbetting | Yes | 353.85K |
| TheConventionSoon | Yes | 302.12K |
| ABM | Yes | 183.64K |
| palisade | Yes | 57.17K |
| 4betterTimes | Yes | 33.33K |
| Swift Comet 5107 | Yes | 17.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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