Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 14 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 185 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2024 to 16 Jul 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 15 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jul 2024. $854.53K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 9:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 14 Jan 2024 – 16 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2024 | 9.0% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 292.29K |
| asc | Yes | 9.82K |
| Dragonx | Yes | 8.36K |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-nominee-2024
New to prediction markets?
| Smurf | Yes | 1.21K |
| Fantomas | Yes | 1K |
| CryptoCurious | Yes | 1K |
| rdbjar | Yes | 940.58 |
| BasicallyNPC | Yes | 600 |
| thebeast | Yes | 500 |
| newbie12345 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
