Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 30 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2024 to 5 Mar 2024, the highest close was 62.5% on 30 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 4 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 19.5% on 21 Feb 2024. $377.96K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 30 Jan 2024 – 5 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2024 | 62.5% |
| 5 Mar 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| muzzrx | Yes | 833.33 |
| mephit | Yes | 0.1 |
| Carsonben1 | No | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Super Tuesday (March 5) is a day in the Republican nomination process in which 15 states hold their Republican primaries/caucuses. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign before the main polling places open on Super Tuesday (7 AM ET, March 5, 2024). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nikki-haley-drop-out-before-super-tuesday
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