Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 1.3% on 20 Mar 2026. $2.49K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 1:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 999.96 |
| tongtexian | Yes | 198.43 |
| cihaofu | Yes | 194.94 |
| rangcuyun | Yes | 161.67 |
| orbitalcoins2 | Yes | 123.99 |
| zhongpuzhan | Yes | 107.14 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-nik-hit-in-march-2026
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