Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 43 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 11 Mar 2026.
Across the 229 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 1.9%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 16% on 12 Mar 2026.
Nico Hulkenberg ranks 20th of the 22 outcomes in “F1: Action of the Year”. Max Verstappen leads at 53.8%; Kimi Antonelli is at 19%.
$708.05 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.26K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 55 trades, $1.37 bought Yes and $354.59 bought No.
The largest Yes position is awgraewrfa with 150 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 861. Ten wallets hold 93.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 229 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 43.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 860.55 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 150 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 116.87 |
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-action-of-the-year
9 more outcomes, none above 1.3%.
| 94ec2 | Yes | 116.06 |
| LKAtrade | Yes | 100 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 85.78 |
| Useless72 | Yes | 81.75 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 42.65 |
| Coral Beacon D5C9 | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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