Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2024 to 4 Mar 2024, the highest close was 75.5% on 3 Mar 2024 and the lowest 33.5% on 28 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 66.5% on 29 Feb 2024.
$2.77K has traded since listing.
The largest position is FabioGoose with 12 Yes shares.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 28 Feb 2024 – 4 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2024 | 33.5% |
| 4 Mar 2024 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FabioGoose | Yes | 12.12 |
| ShadowSparrow | Yes | 0.29 |
| CoolKitty | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The debate will be considered to have begun once any of three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-first-modulithic-debate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
