
Yes is at 49%, down 2 points from 51% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 26 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 26 2026?”.
$50 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.34, with a 94.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is betty4 with 50 shares; the largest No position is PippiTrader with 50.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 51.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| betty4 | Yes | 50 |
| PippiTrader | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 26 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
4 more markets, none above 27.0%.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ng-hit-week-of-october-26-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page