
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 10 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 11 May 2026. $2.19K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 10 May 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| mountaingreen | Yes | 75.49 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| canup | Yes | 5 |
| vedha123 | Yes | 3.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of May 11 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ng-hit-week-of-may-11-2026
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