Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 17% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 55 points down, to 17% on 8 Jul 2026. $2.24K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 1:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 9 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leesungforever | No | 128.71 |
| Noisy-Repayment | No | 12.5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ng-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
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