
Resolved Yes on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 42.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 2 May 2026 and the low 22.5% on 5 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 22.5% on 5 May 2026. $1.15K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 12:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 2 May 2026 – 6 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 6 May 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Royal Ledger 6D3B | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ng-hit-week-of-may-4-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page