
Resolved No on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 3 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 9 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22% on 4 May 2026. $4.45K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 10:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 2 May 2026 – 9 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 48.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 500 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Peppery-Crepe-Disaster | Yes | 56.32 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Ludwig14 | Yes | 30.4 |
| nemonem | Yes | 25 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 20 |
| Abrams001 | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ng-hit-week-of-may-4-2026
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