Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.8%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 9 Dec 2025, the highest close was 15.7% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.3% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 15.7% on 5 Dec 2025. $19.42K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 9 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 1.3% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | 10.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.15K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.05K |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 287 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 168 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the NFT with the highest ROI at the end of the Based AI trading competition beginning on December 2, 2025. The resolution source is the official Based leaderboard available at: https://app.based.one/arena If two or more NFTs are tied for the highest ROI at resolution time, the market will resolve to the NFT with the lowest ID number according to the official Based leaderboard. If the competition is not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if the official leaderboard or final results are unavailable, the market will remain open until Based publishes reliable data. If no such data becomes available by that date, the market will resolve to “Other.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/basedpals-arena-winner
| Olka | Yes | 94.27 |
| dhkiio | Yes | 52.75 |
| Half-Temple | Yes | 25 |
| 0xtempor3 | Yes | 20 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14 |
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