Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 3 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 46.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $1.51K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 3 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| magablack | Yes | 202.48 |
| tuighk | Yes | 148.39 |
| Inferior-Tote | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player signs with a new club between market issuance and February 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any transfer, loan, loan extensions, or a free agent signing of a player that did not play for the club in the most recent season will qualify. Transfers between a club’s senior and reserve or youth teams, as well as free agents re-signing with the team they most recently played for, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the clubs involved, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-soccer-players-will-sign-with-new-clubs-in-the-winter-transfer-window
| Yes |
| 86.67 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 50 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 23.4 |
| HyperwellNerdZ | Yes | 20.41 |
| geneticalgo | Yes | 15.03 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| SUKAHLUHA | Yes | 15 |
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