Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 8, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 8, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.4%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 35.6% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 4.1% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 35.6% on 5 Mar 2026.

292 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 8:33 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 8 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Dec 2025	17.5%
8 Mar 2026	30.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	108.63K
dalaohu	Yes	107.3K
Guilty-Mix	Yes	14.85K

10 of 292 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.