Will New York City have a white Christmas?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 26, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.8K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 26, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 26 Dec 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 22 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 15.5% on 23 Nov 2025. $4.77K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 27, 8:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 26 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Nov 2025	52.5%
26 Dec 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	463
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	406
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	283
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	219

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the National Weather Service records a snowfall observed value of at least .5 inches for the listed city on December 25, 2025. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), St. Louis, MO (St. Louis), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Boston-Logan Airport (Boston), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Downtown San Francisco (San Francisco), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), and Washington-National (Washington D.C.). The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.