What is the “Will Nevada be the tipping point state?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Nevada be the tipping point state? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 18 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

35 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 18, 2:51 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/us-election-tipping-point-state) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will Nevada be the tipping point state?

Market referencewill-nevada-be-the-tipping-point-stateUpdated Dec 18, 2024 UTC

politicsResolved

No · settled Dec 18, 2024 UTCpoliticsdeprec-us-election

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$652.3K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Dec 18, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

98%

Yes / No shares

19.49K / 142.09K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

369

Loaded notional

$17.88K

Yes buy at 0.5%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

155

Move

-5.5 pts

Range

0.1% - 5.5%

Jul 17, 12:00 AM UTC to Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
changed	buy	Yes	0.5%	20	Dec 17, 2:48 PM UTC
JonGosling	buy	Yes

Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Nevada be the tipping point state?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Nevada be the tipping point state? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 18 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?: 35 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

changed

buy

Yes

0.5%

Dec 17, 2:48 PM UTC

JonGosling

buy

Yes