Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 16 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 48.5% on 17 Jul 2026. $249.38 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 17 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 53.5% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wholesomehentai | Yes | 105.36 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| ConstantineVIII | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Netflix currently scheduled to take place on July 16, 2026 at 4:45 PM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-netflix-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260709145309019
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