Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 4 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 3 May 2025. $42.52K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 May 2025 – 4 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 0.5% |
| 4 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 110.79K |
| Faithful-Romaine | Yes | 3.69K |
| torsehorse | Yes | 1.07K |
| M4C | Yes | 810 |
| Fatherly-Library | Yes | 183.16 |
| Nutritious-Motherinlaw | Yes | 150 |
| ferrara | Yes | 150 |
| Gulagkingpin | Yes | 126.24 |
| 5792j72Bd92ns058F02ns7dj | Yes | 111.28 |
| Olli-bolli | Yes | 58 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on which horse will win the 2025 Kentucky Derby Winner.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2025-kentucky-derby-winner
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