Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 44.5% on 12 Mar 2026. $12.85K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 9:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 3.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| sagitario | Yes | 106.77 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-ndx-hit-in-march-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | Yes | 5 |
