Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 0.8% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 13 Mar 2026. $29.84K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 9:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| qbsk | Yes | 422.8 |
| huadhudwq2 | Yes | 300 |
| Amber Ledger 322C | Yes | 118.95 |
| Lawful-Argument | Yes | 38.46 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
| Occasional-Web | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-ndx-hit-in-march-2026
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