Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 5 May 2023 to 9 Jul 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 22 May 2023 and the lowest 50% on 5 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 81% on 8 May 2023. $81.79K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 7:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 5 May 2023 – 9 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2023 | 50.0% |
| 9 Jul 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| United-Folklore | No | 1.53K |
| Unwitting-Roller | No | 50 |
| Lunar Kestrel 5FF7 | No | 0.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Greece (Hellenic Republic) has scheduled legislative elections for May 21, 2023. During this election all 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament will be contested. This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Democracy (Νέα Δημοκρατία, N.D.) controls a greater number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament than any other party after the results of the 2023 Greek legislative election are finalized and a government is formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolving this market, any potential parliamentary elections to follow the first one due to failure to form a government will be considered. If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nd-win-a-plurality-in-the-greek-election
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