Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5.9% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 22 Oct 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 50% on 25 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 0.3% on 1 Nov 2025. $8.46K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 4:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 5.9% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.85K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.79K |
| zhaoquest | Yes | 198 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 105.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on Navan, Inc.’s market capitalization at the official closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No IPO by December 31, 2025.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Navan, Inc.’s first day of trading, for example, a circuit breaker or half day, the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market. As of October 2025, Navan, Inc. has filed for an IPO, but the first trading date has not yet been officially set.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/navan-ipo-day-1-closing-market-cap
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 45 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 36 |
| shine | Yes | 25 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 16 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
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