Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 24 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 24 May 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 54.5% on 17 Jun 2026. $6.96K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 5:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 24 May 2026 – 3 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | 26.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Selfish-Readiness | Yes | 207 |
| Incogn1to | Yes | 111.11 |
| heipi13 | Yes | 50 |
| Vicious-Diagnosis | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-natus-vincere-make-a-roster-change-before-july-231
| hao303 | Yes | 50 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 44.91 |
| Kendi3 | Yes | 35.71 |
| Willywonkaa | Yes | 9.25 |
| Crimson Atlas 4B4F | Yes | 6.67 |
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