Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2023 to 1 Apr 2023 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 14 Jan 2023 and the lowest 1% on 28 Feb 2023. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8% on 15 Jan 2023. $52.73K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 12:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 14 Jan 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Horizon 471E | Yes | 748.5K |
| cyklofasista | Yes | 1.15K |
| Grotesque-Bonsai | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before a certain date.
Resolution source: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nato-expand-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.83 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.28 |
