Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 31 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2023 to 4 Apr 2023 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 31 Mar 2023 and the lowest 25% on 1 Feb 2023. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 65% on 16 Mar 2023. $29.2K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 3:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 31 Jan 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2023 | 42.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Worthless-Scarf | No | 3.92K |
| cyklofasista | No | 1.11K |
| xyit | No | 822.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before a certain date.
Resolution source: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nato-expand-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 39.66 |
| Exemplary-Potty | No | 1.21 |
