Analytics
Resolved No on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53.2%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 9 May 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 60% on 9 Apr 2026. $625.72 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 9 May 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 46.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | No | 0.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Ligue 1. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ligue-1-relegation-survivor-548
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