Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 22 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 79% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.9% on 22 Aug 2024 and the low 63% on 16 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 96% on 17 Aug 2024. $39.74K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 1:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 22 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 79.0% |
| 22 Aug 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iioooiii | No | 5.15K |
| Haskell | No | 27 |
| 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | No | 0.03 |
| smh | Yes | 0.01 |
| pingjiang | Yes | 0.01 |
| TimeQuestion | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention. Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-speak-at-dnc
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