Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 13 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 13 Jul 2026 to 26 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.5% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. $12.26K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 3:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 13 Jul 2026 – 26 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | 5.5% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 161.55K |
| balthazar | Yes | 14.04K |
| coali10 | Yes | 10.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676
| Yes |
| 9.26K |
| Humble-Monk | Yes | 7.57K |
| jackya | Yes | 3.8K |
| korda77 | Yes | 3.8K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 3.64K |
| merod | Yes | 3.48K |
| debased | Yes | 3.33K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
