
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 44% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 16 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 14.5% on 29 Jan 2026. $2.59K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 16 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 43.5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 754.01 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 453 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 266 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Film Independent Spirit Awards are presented annually by Film Independent. The ceremony for the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards is scheduled for February 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Film Independent Spirit Awards and the official Film Independent website (https://www.filmindependent.org/spirit-awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/film-independent-spirit-awards-best-documentary-winner
| Yes |
| 222 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 166 |
| ksdaxzk | Yes | 128.76 |
| sharpbox | Yes | 127.35 |
| wires-975 | Yes | 111.53 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 49.99 |
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